Golden Globe Movie Predictions

I don't feel comfortable about my predictions this year. The race is really scattered and the Hollywood Foreign Press is, as usual, all over the place most of the time. But it's tradition, so I have to do it. Here goes!

BEST MOTION PICTURE- DRAMA

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  • Call Me By Your Name
  • Dunkirk
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This is a really tough one this year. The HFPA seemed to like The Shape of Water a lot, giving it the most nominations, with seven total. I could see that winning. Then again, Three Billboards also seemed popular with them, even as it seemed an unlikely film for them to grab onto. I think I’m going to go with Del Toro’s film, but this one’s shaky.

Winner: The Shape of Water

Alternate: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST MOTION PICTURE- MUSICAL OR COMEDY

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  • The Disaster Artist
  • Get Out
  • The Greatest Showman
  • I, Tonya
  • Lady Bird

I think this one goes to Lady Bird, but Get Out is a possibility as well. I think Lady Bird’s a tad stronger with them, since it got a screenplay nod, so I’m leaning towards that one.

Winner: Lady Bird

Alternate: Get Out

BEST ACTOR- DRAMA

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  • Timothee Chalamet, Call My By Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  • Tom Hanks, The Post
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

I sort of assume that Gary Oldman is going to end up walking through this whole awards season, as a kind of career prize for his Winston Churchill performance. Guessing it’ll start here.

Winner: Gary Oldman

Alternate: Timothee Chalamet (I guess? Hard to know who’s even the runner-up here)

BEST ACTRESS- DRAMA

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  • Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
  • Meryl Streep, The Post
  • Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Oof. This one’s tough! I think it’s between Sally Hawkins and Frances McDormand and it’s probably really close. I’m gonna go with Sally (the HFPA actually likes her and awarded her Best Actress nine years ago for Happy Go Lucky), but McDormand’s right on her heels.

Winner: Sally Hawkins

Alternate: Frances McDormand

Dark Horse: Meryl Streep (Because she’s Meryl Streep and the Globes seemed to like The Post as well)

BEST ACTOR- COMEDY/MUSICAL

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  • Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
  • Ansel Ellgort, Baby Driver
  • James Franco, The Disaster Artist
  • Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Oh, man. This one’s really hard too. Could easily be Franco, Kaluuya, even Elgort, honestly. I guess I’ll go with Franco, since his performance was the most out there and singled out critically (although that hardly matters to the HFPA). It’s a toss-up.

Winner: James Franco

Alternate: Daniel Kaluuya

Dark Horse: Ansel Elgort

BEST ACTRESS- COMEDY/MUSICAL

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  • Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
  • Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

I think this is Soairse Ronan’s, pretty easily. Lady Bird is the frontrunner for film in this category, so it should be hers.

Winner: Saoirse Ronan

Alternate: Margot Robbie

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

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  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards

Dafoe has taken the majority of critics prizes for this category, with Sam Rockwell as runner-up. Going to assume that the Globes go with that as well, although they could go in a different direction entirely, with either Plummer or Jenkins. Sometimes they do wacky stuff like that out of nowhere. Dafoe is the safe bet though.

Winner: Willem Dafoe

Alternate: Sam Rockwell

Dark Horse: Christopher Plummer

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

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  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  • Hong Chau, Downsizing
  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Laurie Metcalf has been the critics favorite on this one, so I’m going with her, but Janney is a real threat too.

Winner: Laurie Metcalf

Alternate: Allison Janney

BEST DIRECTOR

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  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
  • Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
  • Steven Spielberg, The Post

I think this is between del Toro and Nolan, and I’m really not sure what the Globes will go for. I feel like flipping a coin on this one, but I’m gonna go with del Toro. 

Winner: Guillermo del Toro

Alternate: Christopher Nolan

Dark Horse: Martin McDonagh

BEST SCREENPLAY

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  • The Shape of Water
  • Lady Bird
  • The Post
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Molly’s Game

Eek. I have no clue in this category. They do like to spread the wealth occasionally…then again, they didn’t do that at ALL last year with La La Land. This group is a tough nut to crack- they could easily want to spread the wealth or fall for one movie in everything. I’m taking a shot in the dark here.

Winner: Three Billboards (it’s a guess- mostly because I haven’t picked it for anything yet)

Alternate: The Shape of Water

Dark Horse: The Post (or hell, Molly’s Game could win this because of their love of Aaron Sorkin- it’s a true crapshoot)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

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  • Three Billboards
  • The Shape of Water
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • Dunkirk

Ummm…I think The Shape of Water. But Dunkirk had memorable music too.

Winner: The Shape of Water

Alternate: Dunkirk

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

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  • “Home,” Ferdinand
  • “Mighty River,” Mudbound
  • “Remember Me,” Coco
  • “The Star,” The Star
  • “This is Me,” The Greatest Showman

I think the Coco song will probably take this, right? Either that or Mary J. Blige’s from Mudbound.

Winner: “Mighty River” (Gonna hope Mudbound can win something)

Alternate: “Remember Me”

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

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  • The Boss Baby
  • The Breadwinner
  • Coco
  • Ferdinand
  • Loving Vincent

I think Coco takes it easily.

Winner: Coco

Alternate: None

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

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  • A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
  • First They Killed My Father (Cambodia)
  • In the Fade (Germany/France)
  • Loveless (Russia)
  • The Square (Sweden/Germany/France)

I think this is either The Square or the Angelina Jolie movie. I haven’t seen any foreign films this year, sadly, so I can only go on hype at the moment.

Winner: First They Killed My Father

Alternate: The Square

Dark Horse: A Fantastic Woman

Scarlet Johansson is a Futuristic Robot in 'Ghost in the Shell'

Despite the whitewashing controversy over casting a white actress in a what was a very famous Japanese animated film and franchise, everyone involved in the movie is pretty unapologetic about it and it's headed for a big release on March 31st. Unfortunately, it'll probably also be a hit and do nothing to discourage studios from continuing to refuse to cast Asian or Asian-American actresses as leads in these properties. 

Nicole Kidman and Kirsten Dunst Star in Sofia Coppola's 'The Beguiled'

Catching up on some of these summer movie trailers today. Sofia Coppola's films don't get much attention anymore, but I've always had a soft spot for them, having liked every movie she's made so far. This one is a remake of a 1971 Clint Eastwood vehicle and the creepy story is totally right for her sensibilities. Nicole Kidman and Colin Farrell join old Coppola favorites Kirsten Dunst and Elle Fanning for the ensemble drama about a bunch of repressed Southern women who basically kidnap a Union soldier during the Civil War. It's coming out in June. Can't wait.

New Trailer for 'Kong: Skull Island' Ups the Action

This movie looks nuts. Looks like they're going for sort of a comedic, B-movie tone, with Samuel L. Jackson and John C. Reilly providing the comic relief, but without a comedy director at the helm, that's a tricky balancing act. Either they pull it off and it's big dumb fun, or it's really, really bad. Who knows with this one, but it can't get much worse than Peter Jackson's 2005 Kong movie. Comes out next Friday, March 10th.

Bill Paxton 1955-2017

Some bad news this morning, as it was announced that Bill Paxton has died at the age of 61, from complications due to heart surgery. A longtime veteran actor who appeared and starred in many films since the 1980's, most memorably including Terminator (1984), Aliens (1986), True Lies (1994), Apollo 13 (1995), Twister (1996), Titanic (1997) and A Simple Plan (1998). He starred in HBO's Big Love from 2006 to 2011 and was nominated for an Emmy for the 2012 miniseries Hatfields & McCoys. Most recently he'd guest starred on ABC's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. He is survived by his wife Louise and children James and Lydia.