I don't feel comfortable about my predictions this year. The race is really scattered and the Hollywood Foreign Press is, as usual, all over the place most of the time. But it's tradition, so I have to do it. Here goes!
BEST MOTION PICTURE- DRAMA
- Call Me By Your Name
- Dunkirk
- The Post
- The Shape of Water
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
This is a really tough one this year. The HFPA seemed to like The Shape of Water a lot, giving it the most nominations, with seven total. I could see that winning. Then again, Three Billboards also seemed popular with them, even as it seemed an unlikely film for them to grab onto. I think I’m going to go with Del Toro’s film, but this one’s shaky.
Winner: The Shape of Water
Alternate: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
BEST MOTION PICTURE- MUSICAL OR COMEDY
- The Disaster Artist
- Get Out
- The Greatest Showman
- I, Tonya
- Lady Bird
I think this one goes to Lady Bird, but Get Out is a possibility as well. I think Lady Bird’s a tad stronger with them, since it got a screenplay nod, so I’m leaning towards that one.
Winner: Lady Bird
Alternate: Get Out
BEST ACTOR- DRAMA
- Timothee Chalamet, Call My By Your Name
- Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
- Tom Hanks, The Post
- Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
- Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
I sort of assume that Gary Oldman is going to end up walking through this whole awards season, as a kind of career prize for his Winston Churchill performance. Guessing it’ll start here.
Winner: Gary Oldman
Alternate: Timothee Chalamet (I guess? Hard to know who’s even the runner-up here)
BEST ACTRESS- DRAMA
- Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
- Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
- Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
- Meryl Streep, The Post
- Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World
Oof. This one’s tough! I think it’s between Sally Hawkins and Frances McDormand and it’s probably really close. I’m gonna go with Sally (the HFPA actually likes her and awarded her Best Actress nine years ago for Happy Go Lucky), but McDormand’s right on her heels.
Winner: Sally Hawkins
Alternate: Frances McDormand
Dark Horse: Meryl Streep (Because she’s Meryl Streep and the Globes seemed to like The Post as well)
BEST ACTOR- COMEDY/MUSICAL
- Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
- Ansel Ellgort, Baby Driver
- James Franco, The Disaster Artist
- Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
- Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Oh, man. This one’s really hard too. Could easily be Franco, Kaluuya, even Elgort, honestly. I guess I’ll go with Franco, since his performance was the most out there and singled out critically (although that hardly matters to the HFPA). It’s a toss-up.
Winner: James Franco
Alternate: Daniel Kaluuya
Dark Horse: Ansel Elgort
BEST ACTRESS- COMEDY/MUSICAL
- Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
- Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker
- Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
- Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
- Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes
I think this is Soairse Ronan’s, pretty easily. Lady Bird is the frontrunner for film in this category, so it should be hers.
Winner: Saoirse Ronan
Alternate: Margot Robbie
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
- Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
- Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
- Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
- Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards
Dafoe has taken the majority of critics prizes for this category, with Sam Rockwell as runner-up. Going to assume that the Globes go with that as well, although they could go in a different direction entirely, with either Plummer or Jenkins. Sometimes they do wacky stuff like that out of nowhere. Dafoe is the safe bet though.
Winner: Willem Dafoe
Alternate: Sam Rockwell
Dark Horse: Christopher Plummer
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
- Hong Chau, Downsizing
- Allison Janney, I, Tonya
- Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
- Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Laurie Metcalf has been the critics favorite on this one, so I’m going with her, but Janney is a real threat too.
Winner: Laurie Metcalf
Alternate: Allison Janney
BEST DIRECTOR
- Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
- Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
- Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
- Steven Spielberg, The Post
I think this is between del Toro and Nolan, and I’m really not sure what the Globes will go for. I feel like flipping a coin on this one, but I’m gonna go with del Toro.
Winner: Guillermo del Toro
Alternate: Christopher Nolan
Dark Horse: Martin McDonagh
BEST SCREENPLAY
- The Shape of Water
- Lady Bird
- The Post
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Molly’s Game
Eek. I have no clue in this category. They do like to spread the wealth occasionally…then again, they didn’t do that at ALL last year with La La Land. This group is a tough nut to crack- they could easily want to spread the wealth or fall for one movie in everything. I’m taking a shot in the dark here.
Winner: Three Billboards (it’s a guess- mostly because I haven’t picked it for anything yet)
Alternate: The Shape of Water
Dark Horse: The Post (or hell, Molly’s Game could win this because of their love of Aaron Sorkin- it’s a true crapshoot)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
- Three Billboards
- The Shape of Water
- Phantom Thread
- The Post
- Dunkirk
Ummm…I think The Shape of Water. But Dunkirk had memorable music too.
Winner: The Shape of Water
Alternate: Dunkirk
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
- “Home,” Ferdinand
- “Mighty River,” Mudbound
- “Remember Me,” Coco
- “The Star,” The Star
- “This is Me,” The Greatest Showman
I think the Coco song will probably take this, right? Either that or Mary J. Blige’s from Mudbound.
Winner: “Mighty River” (Gonna hope Mudbound can win something)
Alternate: “Remember Me”
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
- The Boss Baby
- The Breadwinner
- Coco
- Ferdinand
- Loving Vincent
I think Coco takes it easily.
Winner: Coco
Alternate: None
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
- A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
- First They Killed My Father (Cambodia)
- In the Fade (Germany/France)
- Loveless (Russia)
- The Square (Sweden/Germany/France)
I think this is either The Square or the Angelina Jolie movie. I haven’t seen any foreign films this year, sadly, so I can only go on hype at the moment.
Winner: First They Killed My Father
Alternate: The Square
Dark Horse: A Fantastic Woman
