Well, this keeps things interesting. I went 3 for 5 in my predictions tonight, but the big surprise was Idris Elba winning for Beasts of No Nation, which served as a huge fuck you to the Academy, since he became the first SAG winner to not even be nominated for an Oscar. His snub, by the way, was by all measures the most egregious of the acting nominations, since he was nominated for the Golden Globe, SAG and Bafta, and should have been in there at the Oscars too. But AMPAS clearly does not want to recognize the legitimacy of Netflix yet- I'm positive that if that film had been released by a major studio in theaters Elba would have for sure gotten in. As for Spotlight roaring back tonight, I actually wouldn't put too much stock in that, because the SAG ensemble winner only matches Best Picture about 50 percent of the time. It's not a great record- remember, American Hustle won here just two years ago and then won nothing at the Oscars. But it means The Big Short doesn't have it wrapped up yet, as all eyes move on to the next guild, which is the DGA, now as important as it's ever been. It's still a competitive race.
2016 SAG AWARDS WINNERS
- BEST ENSEMBLE: Spotlight
- BEST ACTOR: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
- BEST ACTRESS: Brie Larson, Room
- BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
- BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Vikander winning this puts her in frontrunner status for the Oscar, and I believe the rest of the acting winners are now officially locked as well. Supporting actor could still be open, but Elba winning as a non-Oscar nominee was the best possible news for Stallone's chances in hanging onto that award.