The USC Scripter is a ceremony that honors adapted screenplays and the work they're based on, and for the last six years in a row their winner has also won the Adapted Screenplay Oscar, so people tend to pay attention to what they choose. Here are their nominees for the year:
- The Big Short
- Brooklyn
- The End of the Tour
- The Martian
- Room
This confirms my suspicion that Carol is vulnerable for a nomination in this category. The End of the Tour will not be nominated by the Oscars, which will likely choose Steve Jobs instead- that was the bigger surprise snub here, frankly. But yeah, I'm guessing Carol won't make it to the final five. And for the win, I'm really thinking that Adam McKay will take it for The Big Short.
COSTUME DESIGNERS GUILD
The costume people weighed in today, with nominees in three different categories:
Period:
- Brooklyn
- Carol
- Crimson Peak
- The Danish Girl
- Trumbo
Contemporary:
- Joy
- Kingsman: The Secret Service
- Beasts of No Nation
- The Martian
- Youth
Fantasy:
- Mad Max: Fury Road
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens
- Cinderella
- Ex Machina
- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay- Part 2
The costume branch sometimes adds one that the guild missed- in this case it could be Bridge of Spies, but since the branch tends to love big, colorful period costumes, I think the nominees will likely be Brooklyn, Carol, Crimson Peak, The Danish Girl and Cinderella. It'd be cool if something like Mad Max could show up, but those look like the ones to me.