The PGA has announced its annual list of the ten best movies of the year, and the only real surprise on the list is Deadpool, which after having landed first an ACE and then a WGA nom, maybe shouldn't have been all that surprising after all. The question now is whether Deadpool can turn all this guild success into an Oscar nomination...but I still think the only chance for it is a surprise nod in adapted screenplay. I'd be shocked if it showed up as a Best Picture nominee- delighted, but shocked. The Producers Guild nominates a flat ten, while AMPAS goes between five and ten, and whatever number it ends up is calculated from a ranked ballot where voters only pick five. That leaves the nomination chances for Deadpool unlikely (it's probably not in most voters' top five), but it'd still be cool to see it there. As for the rest, the PGA usually predicts 6-7 of the 8 or 9 Best Picture nominees, so the question is what gets left off. I'd say Deadpool and then the ones on the outside are Lion, Hidden Figures and maybe Hacksaw Ridge. Minus one of those, perhaps (and I really don't know which one, since all three are equally strong in the guilds). The rest look pretty safe.
- Arrival
- Deadpool
- Fences
- Hacksaw Ridge
- Hell or High Water
- Hidden Figures
- La La Land
- Lion
- Manchester By the Sea
- Moonlight
