My 4th Annual Golden Globes Predictions

Well, it's time for my annual Golden Globe predictions. I was truly dreadful at these last year, so keep that in mind. The Hollywood Foreign Press sometimes tries to predict the Oscars, other times does whatever the hell it wants, and apparently there's no way to tell which habit they'll fall back into from year to year. Hey, there's only 90 of these guys, so it's always something of a crapshoot. I'll try to keep both of their tendencies in mind as I go through the movie categories this time. Here goes nothing.


  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hell or High Water
  • Lion
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Moonlight

You know, this is a tough one. Moonlight was undoubtedly the big critics favorite this year, but will the Globes agree? I'm not so sure. There could easily be a case made for any one of these, to tell you the truth. I guess I'll stick with the critics pick, but I honestly don't know which of these movies would appeal more to these voter's tastes.

Winner: Moonlight

Alternate: Manchester By the Sea


  • Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
  • Joel Edgerton, Loving
  • Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Viggo Mortenson, Captain Fantastic
  • Denzel Washington, Fences

Affleck is the critics overwhelming choice and would appear as the Oscar frontrunner, but is that enough to topple the Globes usual love of movie stars and Denzel? Well, since Fences didn't get that Best Picture nomination, I suppose Casey is the obvious choice here.

Winner: Casey Affleck

Alternate: Denzel Washington


  • Amy Adams, Arrival
  • Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
  • Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  • Ruth Negga, Loving
  • Natalie Portman, Jackie

Interestingly, none of these actresses' films correspond to a Best Picture nomination, so there's no hint there. The Globes have long loved Amy Adams, but given Natalie Portman's tour de force performance in a showy role, I think she's got this.

Winner: Natalie Portman

Alternate: Amy Adams

Dark Horse: Isabelle Huppert


  • 20th Century Women
  • Deadpool
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • La La Land
  • Sing Street

Seems like an easy win for the heavy Oscar favorite La La Land. No real suspense on this one.

Winner: La La Land


  • Colin Farrell, The Lobster
  • Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  • Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Jonah Hill, War Dogs
  • Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool

I think I'm gonna do something crazy and potentially stupid here and predict Ryan Reynolds. I know Gosling's in the BP lock, but Emma Stone will win on the actress side and will they give the movie four or more awards? They usually like to spread the wealth around. Plus, Deadpool got a Best Picture nom, so they clearly liked it, and Reynolds is campaigning like a madman (the HFPA is always the most susceptible to being wined and dined). You need an out there pick once in a while.

Winner: Ryan Reynolds

Alternate: Ryan Gosling

Dark Horse: Hugh Grant (an old Globe favorite, plus they liked that film too, enough to give it a supporting actor nomination plus the leads, and Best Picture)


  • Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
  • Lily Collins, Rules Don't Apply
  • Hailee Steinfeld, Edge of Seventeen
  • Emma Stone, La La Land
  • Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Emma has this one in the bag. It's her chance to make the big play for Oscar voters with her acceptance speech.

Winner: Emma Stone

Alternate: Meryl Streep (can never be counted out at the Globes)


  • Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  • Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  • Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Dev Patel, Lion
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Ummm. I guess I will go with Ali, the critics pick for this one. Bridges may have a chance, being the veteran and all, but I think Ali will sweep the supporting races.

Winner: Mahershala Ali

Alternate: Jeff Bridges


  • Viola Davis, Fences
  • Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman, Lion
  • Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
  • Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea

I think Davis also has the supporting awards sewn up, so no contest here.

Winner: Viola Davis


  • Damian Chazelle, La La Land
  • Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
  • Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea

Oy. I think probably Chazelle, but he and Jenkins have been neck and neck with critics awards, so it's a coin toss. I think the technical accomplishment of La La Land helps Chazelle though.

Winner: Damian Chazelle

Alternate: Barry Jenkins


  • Hell or High Water
  • La La Land
  • Manchester By the Sea
  • Moonlight
  • Nocturnal Animals

This is where I think Manchester takes a prize (other than acting). The script has been heavily praised this season. But...this could also be Hell or High Water's only shot to win something (unless they go with Bridges). Huh.

Winner: Manchester By the Sea

Alternate: Hell or High Water


  • Arrival
  • Hidden Figures
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Moonlight

I'm thinking La La Land, on the basis of it being a musical. Right? Lion also has a good score though, and the Globes don't usually like to give one movie too many awards. Wary on this one.

Winner: La La Land

Alternate: Lion


  • "Can't Stop the Feeling," Trolls
  • "City of Stars," La La Land
  • "Faith," Sing
  • "Gold," Gold
  • "How Far I'll Go," Moana

I'm gonna go for Justin Timberlake in this category. It's the one chart topper of the bunch and the most popular.

Winner: "Can't Stop the Feeling"

Alternate: "How Far I'll Go" (Lin-Manuel Miranda is probably also tempting for the HFPA)


  • Kubo and the Two Strings
  • Moana
  • My Life as a Zucchini
  • Sing
  • Zootopia

Disney or Pixar always takes this, so I'm saying Zootopia. Moana has a shot too, but Zootopia clearly has the upper hand in precursor love.

Winner: Zootopia

Alternate: Moana


  • Devine
  • Elle
  • Neruda
  • The Salesman
  • Toni Erdmann

The Globes don't always go with the inevitable Oscar winner here, but Toni Erdmann's been so acclaimed that I assume it has to be the frontrunner.

Winner: Toni Erdmann

Alternate: Neruda (they may respond well to the subject matter)