Green Book wins the Producer Guild award, moving into the frontrunner position for the Oscar race
Wow. I guess the various scandals surrounding Green Book have not made a single dent in the minds of the people who love this movie, because boy do they love it. After winning the PGA tonight, many will be tempted to predict it as the Best Picture frontrunner and with good reason. The PGA winner has won the Best Picture Oscar 20 of the last 29 years, including last year, with The Shape of Water. The two before that it diverged, with La La Land and The Big Short losing out to Moonlight and Spotlight, respectively, so there’s some hope for something else (though I’m thinking it’s probably Roma or nothing, since Alfonso Cuaron is still expected to win the DGA). Yeah, this isn’t looking good. I’m sensing a backlash to the backlash a little bit too, with people who love this film becoming very defensive and protective over it regarding the criticism. But man, are we in for a shitstorm if this movie wins Best Picture. It would definitely be the most divisive winner since Crash. We’re in for a big three guild split it looks like too, with DGA likely to be Cuaron and neither Green Book nor Roma nominated for the SAG ensemble, so that one has to be something else. Even though the PGA is the only other group that uses the Academy’s preferential ballot, the makeup of the Academy has changed drastically in recent years, due to the effort to make its membership more diverse, while no other organization’s has (and that could explain the divergence from the PGA winner in 2015 and 2016). All this means we could be in for a surprise on Oscar night this year, but if Green Book won on this ballot here, it could win anywhere, so look out.
Best Feature Film: Green Book
Best Animated Film: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Documentary Film: Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
