Moving on to part three today, where we have the all important screenplay and editing awards, as well as the separate feature categories for documentary, international (previously foreign-language) and animated films.
BEST FILM EDITING
Ford v. Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Parasite
Oof. I’m really wary on this one. Jojo Rabbit and Parasite won the guild but in different categories, while Ford v. Ferrari took the BAFTA for editing that’s obviously showier. Sometimes those win this category, so could it be Ford’s? I’m leaning towards it. BUT- if Parasite takes editing, that’s probably a big sign that it will pull off Best Picture. Because I’m not predicting that, I’m going with Ford, but if you want to predict Parasite in Best Picture, I would probably choose it here too.
Winner: Ford v. Ferrari
Alternate: Parasite
Dark Horse: Jojo Rabbit
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
American Factory
The Cave
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
Honeyland
For Sama is the most popular documentary winner overseas by far, and the Brits love it. But I’m leaning towards American Factory, because it was produced by Barack and Michelle Obama and the Academy knows it (I don’t know if they would accept in person, but I know everyone with a ballot will know what they’re voting for).
Winner: American Factory
Alternate: For Sama
Dark Horse: Honeyland (this movie is also nominated in International Film, which is a first)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link
Toy Story 4
Now this to me is one of the most interesting categories of the night. Toy Story 4 won a lot of guild awards, but it’s lost at places like the Golden Globes, the Annies and the BAFTAS. Klaus came in at the last minute and won these last two- could that be the spoiler? There’s real resistance to awarding a sequel in this category, but is it widespread enough to survive a consensus vote from thousands of people, who may have only seen Toy Story 4 of these nominees? This is a coin toss to me.
Winner: Toy Story 4
Alternate: Klaus
Dark Horse: Missing Link
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Corpus Christi (Poland)
Honeyland (North Macedonia)
Les Miserables (France)
Pain and Glory (Spain)
Parasite (South Korea)
This one’s easy. Parasite has a real chance to take Best Picture, so of course it’s winning this. Actually no movie ever nominated for this award AND in Best Picture has ever lost this, so…there ya go.
Winner: Parasite
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
The Two Popes
Well, Little Women won the USC Scripter, which had an eight year streak of matching the winner of this category until last year, but with Jojo Rabbit taking both industry awards, the WGA and the BAFTA, it would be unwise not to predict it.
Winner: Jojo Rabbit
Alternate: Little Women
Dark Horse: The Irishman (once considered a strong bet for this until people actually started voting)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Knives Out
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
I thought Quentin Tarantino, who won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice award, would win his third screenplay Oscar, but with Parasite taking the WGA (where Tarantino wasn’t eligible), but also facing off against Once Upon a Time in Hollywood at BAFTA and beating it there, I feel it will win the Oscar too. Still…it’s a close one.
Winner: Parasite
Alternate: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Dark Horse: Marriage Story
