Jessica Chastain now has the edge in the Best Actress race
CODA won some big prizes from SAG-AFTRA tonight, including Best Ensemble and Best Supporting Actor, making history for its largely deaf cast and throwing a wrench into the Best Supporting Actor race in particular. With Troy Kotsur taking this award tonight, that places supposed frontrunner Kodi Smit-McPhee on the backburner, so we’ll have to see what happens at BAFTA (where if say, Ciaran Hinds were to win, we’d have a very split race). Will Smith won his Best Actor prize as expected, but Jessica Chastain upset Nicole Kidman in Actress, and for that race specifically, that’s the only tea leaf we’re going to get. None of the Oscar nominees are up at BAFTA, so that will tell us nothing. We’re going in blind on that one, but Chastain is as likely to win now as any of them (and she’s on her third nomination and hasn’t won yet, unlike say, Kidman, Colman and Cruz).
2022 SAG WINNERS
BEST ENSEMBLE: CODA
BEST MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Will Smith, King Richard
BEST FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
BEST MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Troy Kotsur, CODA
BEST FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
CODA was beloved at SAG and likely to win at least one award on Oscar night
