So with the Emmys coming up on Sept 22nd, it's time to make my own predictions for who's going to win. I'll be handicapping the major categories over the next couple of weeks, starting here, with the one that happens to be the weakest. Now, these aren't going to be wishful thinking on my part, just a flat out prediction about who's going to take home the trophy.
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series:
- Jane Krakowski (30 Rock)
- Jane Lynch (Glee)
- Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)
- Julie Bowen (Modern Family)
- Merritt Wever (Nurse Jackie)
- Mayim Bialik (The Big Bang Theory)
- Anna Chlumsky (Veep)
Ok, so despite the seven nominees who made it in, this is a very weak category based on the submitted episodes, with only two likely contenders for the win, and that's Jane Krakowski and Julie Bowen. Out of the two of them, I'm going to go ahead and say Bowen takes it for the third year running. Lame I know, but this is certainly not unprecedented for the Emmys, especially in this category, which has seen multiple repeat winners over the years, from Rhea Perlman (Cheers) to Laurie Metcalf (Roseanne) and Doris Roberts (Everybody Loves Raymond), all of whom won several years in a row for their roles. Julie Bowen's going to join the club, simply because Krakowski's screen time in her episode is limited and no one else has any real stand out scenes. If Krakowski pulls it off it'll be because this was 30 Rock's final season and it's the last chance to give it her, which would be great, but I'm not convinced that the love for 30 Rock is all that overwhelming (the show hasn't won a single Emmy since its third season).
Will Win: Julie Bowen
Should Win: Jane Krakowski
Dark Horse: Jane Lynch (this would be nuts, but her character is nutty and she's won it before; they may go back to her as an alternative to Modern Family fatigue and lack of enthusiasm for 30 Rock)
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series:
- Adam Driver (Girls)
- Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)
- Ed O'Neill (Modern Family)
- Ty Burrell (Modern Family)
- Bill Hader (Saturday Night Live)
- Tony Hale (Veep)
Another weak lineup, from which I'm going to have to go back to a default Modern Family guy and past winner, Ty Burrell. See, everything would be different if any of the Arrested Development guys had the made the cut here (if the voters had actually watched past the first or second episode, which I'm convinced they didn't.) Will Arnettt would have wiped the floor with all of these guys based on screen time alone. Sigh. But back to the winner- Burrell has the funniest episode and it's that simple for me. Adam Driver I think is great on Girls, but that's appreciated more as a performance over the whole season rather than in a singular episode, and Tony Hale just isn't focused on enough (he is funny, but we get him in small bits only). I would really love to see Bill Hader win, and the Seth MacFarlane hosted episode he submitted was a good one, but his funniest sketch is the one where he's a puppet, which kinda hampers his screen time as well. It's probably Burrell or Ed O'Neill, who hasn't yet won for Modern Family, so he may have some of the sympathy factor going on (being a veteran TV comedy actor who's never won and all).
Will Win: Ty Burrell
Should Win: Bill Hader
Dark Horse: Ed O'Neill
