Okay, so I almost always bomb out on these SAG TV predictions- I know they generally like veteran actors and long-running shows (this is the complete opposite of the Golden Globes that way), but I'll go ahead and give this my best shot anyway.
TV MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
- Ellen Burstyn, Flowers in the Attic
- Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honourable Woman
- Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
- Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart
- Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful
Oh, boy. Quite a few veteran actresses in here. Hmm- I think I'm going to pick Cicely Tyson for this one. Frances McDormand could win too, but since Tyson is in her 80's and SAG is a much more diverse guild than any other, I think she makes sense as a winner.
TV MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
- Adrien Brody, Houdini
- Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock
- Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
- Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart
- Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo
I'm going to say Cumberbatch takes this, because he hasn't won a SAG yet, and the show was inexplicably resurgent this year at the Emmys. Maybe that indicated something. It could also go to Globe winner Billy Bob, maybe veteran Jenkins. But I'll just stick with the Sherlock vote.
TV COMEDY ACTRESS
- Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
- Julie Bowen, Modern Family
- Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
- Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
- Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
I guess Julia again? I don't know if/when we'll get to the point where there's fatigue for her and that show yet, after winning so many awards for it for quite a few years in a row. But I don't see support rallying around the other options here, so I guess it's Julia by default.
TV COMEDY ACTOR
- Ty Burrell, Modern Family
- Louis C.K., Louie
- William H. Macy, Shameless
- Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
- Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
God, what a boring category this is. All these shows are long running by now, so I can't decide who gets that veteran vote. Ty Burrell won it last year, so I guess he's always a threat. For some reason I also think Macy has a shot now, since they moved his show to comedy and he still hasn't been recognized for it yet. I think I'm going to go with him.
TV COMEDY ENSEMBLE
- The Big Bang Theory
- Brooklyn Nine-Nine
- Modern Family
- Orange is the New Black
- Veep
Modern Family wins this over and over again, and they had a good season last year. I'd like to see Orange take it, but it's probably just safer to stick with Modern Family once more.
TV DRAMA ACTRESS
- Claire Danes, Homeland
- Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
- Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
- Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
- Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
- Robin Wright, House of Cards
I'm thinking Viola Davis for this one. She's a longtime character actress, she moved over to TV, it's a hit. But frankly, Maggie Smith could take this as well- she's won it before and they never stop loving her. And Emmy winner Margulies is a real possibility, since The Good Wife also had a great season. Huh. I think I've talked myself into Margulies now. I'll go with her.
TV DRAMA ACTOR
- Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
- Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
- Woody Harrelson, True Detective
- Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
- Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Funnily enough, everyone predicted that McConaughey would take every TV award for True Detective, and he's been shut out for both the Emmy and the Golden Globe. This is his last chance to win anything for it, and I'm kinda wondering now if people are just over him in general. Wouldn't it be cool to see Woody Harrelson win this? He's a longtime TV vet. I'm going to go with it- this is my wild card pick.
TV DRAMA ENSEMBLE
- Boardwalk Empire
- Downton Abbey
- Game of Thrones
- Homeland
- House of Cards
I really have no clue on this one- Downton Abbey won a couple of years ago out of nowhere, I guess because they hadn't rewarded it yet. Going by that logic, maybe it's Game of Thrones' turn? Or is the show too genre-y for even SAG? I'd love to see Boardwalk take it for the last season, but that won in its first. I'm honestly aiming in the dark here, but I'm going to just say that it is Game of Thrones' turn to win- I suppose House of Cards is the next most likely choice.
