2016 SAG TV Predictions

Time now for the SAG predictions on the TV side. I make no claims to be an expert on this one though. From what I can tell, SAG likes to reward veterans above all else (the Downton Abbey cast has won ensemble the last two years in a row), so my picks here are mostly going to reflect that.

BEST COMEDY ENSEMBLE

  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Key & Peele
  • Modern Family
  • Orange is the New Black
  • Transparent
  • Veep

My best guess here would be the cast of Veep, since it's been on a roll with industry awards in the last year, and with four seasons under its belt, I suppose they ought to count as being a veteran cast by now. But Modern Family could always win again, or Orange as well. I would say it's a three-way toss-up in this category.

Winner: Veep

Alternate: Modern Family

Dark Horse: Orange is the New Black

BEST COMEDY ACTOR

  • Ty Burrell, Modern Family
  • Louis C.K., Louie
  • William H. Macy, Shameless
  • Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
  • Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Everyone in this category can rightfully be described as a veteran, so it's kind of another toss-up. But Tambor has won so many of these lately, so I'd say it's SAG's turn to pick him.

Winner: Jeffrey Tambor

Alternate: Ty Burrell

Dark Horse: William H. Macy

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS

  • Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
  • Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
  • Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

I really have no clue on this one. Julia's won it, Uzo won it last year- could it be Amy's turn, as her last chance to win for Parks? It's just as likely one of those other two repeats, frankly.

Winner: Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Alternate: Uzo Aduba

Dark Horse: Amy Poehler

BEST DRAMA ENSEMBLE

  • Downton Abbey
  • Game of Thrones
  • Homeland
  • House of Cards
  • Mad Men

I'm going with Game of Thrones after its Emmy wins, but don't count out Downton Abbey or even Mad Men for its last season.

Winner: Game of Thrones

Alternate: Downton Abbey

Dark Horse: Mad Men

BEST DRAMA ACTOR

  • Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
  • Jon Hamm, Mad Men
  • Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
  • Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
  • Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

After his Emmy and Globe wins, I think Jon Hamm completes the trifecta for the final season of Mad Men with a SAG win here.

Winner: Jon Hamm

Alternate: Kevin Spacey

Dark Horse: Peter Dinklage

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS

  • Claire Danes, Homeland
  • Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
  • Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
  • Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
  • Robin Wright, House of Cards

Viola won it last year, so I'm gonna go with Maggie Smith, believe it or not. One more for the grand dame of Downton.

Winner: Maggie Smith

Alternate: Viola Davis

Dark Horse: Claire Danes

BEST MOVIE/MINISERIES ACTOR

  • Idris Elba, Luther
  • Ben Kingsley, Tut
  • Ray Liotta, Texas Rising
  • Bill Murray, A Very Murray Christmas
  • Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall

I'm picking Elba, since he won't win for Beasts of No Nation on the film side. But Rylance has a shot here too.

Winner: Idris Elba

Alternate: Mark Rylance

Dark Horse: Bill Murray

BEST MOVIE/MINISERIES ACTRESS

  • Nicole Kidman, Grace of Monaco
  • Queen Latifah, Bessie
  • Christina Ricci, The Lizzie Borden Chronicles
  • Susan Sarandon, The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe
  • Kristen Wiig, The Spoils Before Dying

Based on the buzz for these movies/series alone, I would think Latifah would take this, so there you go.

Winner: Queen Latifah

Alternate: Kristen Wiig