SAG TV predictions are not my strong suit. I normally don’t even agree with most of their nominations. The only trend seems to be that they like veteran actors, as opposed to the Globes, who tend to go for the newbies. But I’ll give it a shot anyway.
ENSEMBLE CAST IN A DRAMA
The Americans always had a good ensemble, despite only its leads ever being recognized- not the case at SAG
The Americans
Better Call Saul
The Handmaid’s Tale
Ozark
This is Us
It seems like people have been trying to catch up and pay their last respects to The Americans, and since none of their actors are nominated individually (a crime, frankly), I’m going to say that’s what will win in this category. It’s their last chance to get anything from SAG, so they should go for it, right?
Winner: The Americans
Alternate: This is Us
Dark Horse: The Handmaid’s Tale
MALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Most SAG acting winner repeat for a while
Jason Bateman, Ozark
Sterling K. Brown, This is Us
Joseph Fiennes, The Handmaid’s Tale
John Krasinski, Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Sterling K. Brown won this last year, but this category sees a lot of frequent repeaters. He could easily get it again and is probably the favorite. I wouldn’t count out Bob Odenkirk though, or even Jason Bateman, since the latter’s a veteran actor now, and Odenkirk’s show has been on the air for a while.
Winner: Sterling K. Brown
Alternate: Jason Bateman
Dark Horse: Bob Odenkirk
FEMALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Moss surprisingly hasn’t won the SAG yet, so I think this will be her
Julia Garner, Ozark
Laura Linney, Ozark
Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
Robin Wright, House of Cards
I could see any of these actresses winning except probably Julia Garner. Elisabeth Moss actually hasn’t won this yet, so perhaps it’s her turn. But Sandra Oh is on a roll lately, after winning the Golden Globe and Critics Choice awards. And then Robin Wright, a longtime veteran actress who had to step in and take over her show after the Kevin Spacey scandal. Laura Linney is Laura Linney, and they seem to like Ozark a lot. Hmmm. This is a tough one.
Winner: Elisabeth Moss (I think she’ll pull it out since she hasn’t won yet)
Alternate: Robin Wright
Dark Horse: Sandra Oh
ENSEMBLE CAST IN A COMEDY
Not smart to go against this show for any top award
Atlanta
Barry
GLOW
The Kominsky Method
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
I would love for this to be GLOW, since it has such a great ensemble, but I’m not sure it’s wise to go with anything other than Mrs. Maisel, which seems to be cleaning up at all the awards shows for comedy. Oddly, this particular award has a really hard time changing hands, usually. Modern Family won it at least five years in a row, then Orange is the New Black three in a row, then Veep, who seemed to be next in line. Veep wasn’t on the air this year, otherwise I’m sure it would win again. And for once the nominated shows are all in their first or second seasons. So i guess I’ll just go with Maisel.
Winner: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Alternate: GLOW
Dark Horse: Atlanta
MALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY
This is a total guess- could honestly be any nominee here
Alan Arkin, The Kominsky Method
Michael Douglas, The Kominsky Method
Bill Hader, Barry
Tony Shalhoub, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Henry Winkler, Barry
Yet another category usually dominated by veterans who win for years in a row, now filled with first-time contenders. But of course, aside from Bill Hader, all these guys are big name, longtime actors either in film or television, so it’s hard to determine who gets the veteran card. God, it could be any of them. I think I’m just gonna go with Henry Winkler on a guess.
Winner: Henry Winkler
Alternate: Tony Shalhoub
Dark Horse: Alan Arkin
FEMALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY
Brosnahan’s the safe bet for every award
Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Alison Brie, GLOW
Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie
Without Julia-Louis Dreyfus in the category, this one should be Brosnahan’s, who’s taken it in every comedy race so far. I’d be surprised if it was anyone else.
Winner: Rachel Brosnahan
Alternate: Jane Fonda
Dark Horse: Lily Tomlin
MALE ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE
Darren Criss has won much recognition for this role
Antonio Banderas, Genius: Picasso
Darren Criss, Gianni Versace
Hugh Grant, A Very English Scandal
Anthony Hopkins, King Lear
Bill Pullman, The Sinner
He’s not a veteran, but I’m done predicting anyone other than Darren Criss for this category. He’s pretty much run the table.
Winner: Darren Criss
Alternate: Hugh Grant
Dark Horse: Anthony Hopkins
FEMALE ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE
Arquette’s had a strong awards run with this part
Amy Adams, Sharp Objects
Patricia Arquette, Escape at Dannemora
Patricia Clarkson, Sharp Objects
Penelope Cruz, Gianni Versace
Emma Stone, Maniac
I really thought Amy Adams would clean up on the awards circuit for Sharp Objects, but Patricia Arquette seems to be giving her a run for her money. Also, Amy’s probably going to win on the movie side, so maybe two is too much for one night.
Winner: Patricia Arquette
Alternate: Amy Adams
Dark Horse: Patricia Clarkson
