SAG TV Predictions

At the risk of getting them all wrong, like I did at the Globes, I'm still going to give it a try with my TV predictions at SAG. Hopefully, they won't be as quirky here, and I don't think they will because they are such a big, mainstream group.

Male Actor in a TV Movie/Mini

2013-05-28-behind-the-candelabra.jpg
  • Matt Damon, Behind the Candelabra
  • Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
  • Jeremy Irons, The Hollow Crown
  • Rob Lowe, Killing Kennedy
  • Al Pacino, Phil Spector

Michael Douglas once again. At least I haven't gone wrong in predicting him.

Female Actor in a TV Movie/Mini

top-of-the-lake-elisabeth-moss.jpg
  • Angela Bassett, Betty & Coretta
  • Helena Bonham Carter, Burton and Taylor
  • Holly Hunter, Top of the Lake
  • Helen Mirren, Phil Spector
  • Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

I'm going to say Elisabeth Moss. SAG will follow the Globes lead on this one, and good for her, because she deserves it.

Male Actor in a Drama Series

breaking-bad-finale-walter-bryan-cranston.jpg
  • Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
  • Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
  • Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
  • Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
  • Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Bryan Cranston for the last season of Breaking Bad. He's won a couple times before and will get one for the final run.

Female Actor in a Drama Series

2312ec20-064d-a9da-0419-856d1b17309f_bb_516_uc_0327_0556.jpg
  • Claire Danes, Homeland
  • Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
  • Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
  • Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
  • Kerry Washington, Scandal

Hmmm. I think Kerry Washington could take this category, but Anna Gunn may also win with all the love for Breaking Bad. I'll say Anna Gunn.

Male Actor in a Comedy Series

30_rock_series_finale_alec_baldwin.jpg
  • Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
  • Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
  • Ty Burrell, Modern Family
  • Don Cheadle, House of Lies
  • Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Ugh. Alec Baldwin has won this category something like seven years in a row for 30 Rock, so I guess he has to get it for the final season. 

Female Actor in a Comedy Series

veep_2704504b.jpg
  • Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
  • Julie Bowen, Modern Family
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
  • Tina Fey, 30 Rock
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

It's gotta be Julia Louis-Dreyfus, right? Her not winning the Globe was a shock, so I think she's still out front here, but Tina Fey might be a close second for the last season of 30 Rock.

Ensemble in a Drama Series

bbconfessions16.jpg
  • Boardwalk Empire
  • Breaking Bad
  • Downton Abbey
  • Game of Thrones
  • Homeland

This one belongs to the Breaking Bad cast for sure.

Ensemble in a Comedy Series

arrested-development-netflix-will-arnett-portia-de-rossi.jpg
  • 30 Rock
  • Arrested Development
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Modern Family
  • Veep

I think this award could honestly go to any one of those shows. Thinking about what a huge group SAG is (and they've only gotten broader since merging with AFTRA last year, which means this guild now includes TV and radio personalities, believe it or not, so this isn't even all actors anymore), it may go to the most widely watched and respected one, Modern Family. In fact, the more I look at that list the less certain I am for any of them. So, since this is my last chance to pick Arrested Development for anything anyway, I'll go ahead and predict them. They're a great, beloved cast of actors- maybe SAG wants to welcome them back. It's as good a reason to pick that as any of the others.

Breaking Bad, Brooklyn Nine-Nine Win the Top Golden Globes for TV

It was a great night for Breaking Bad and Brooklyn Nine-Nine, as the Globes followed their usual tradition of honoring the brand spanking new show wherever they can:

r-1.jpeg

DRAMA

  • Series: Breaking Bad
  • Lead Actor: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
  • Lead Actress: Robin Wright, House of Cards

COMEDY

  • Series: Brooklyn Nine-Nine
  • Lead Actor: Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
  • Lead Actress: Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

MOVIE/MINISERIES

  • Movie/Mini: Behind the Candelabra
  • Actor: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
  • Actress: Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake
  • Supporting Actor in a Series/Movie/Mini: Jon Voight, Ray Donovan
  • Supporting Actress in a Series/Movie/Mini: Jacqueline Bisset, Dancing on the Edge

So, yeah, I completely bombed out in my TV predictions, folks. A horrible 3/11 here- it's enough to vow never to predict the Globes again, at least in the TV categories (at least I did better on the movie side). I have to remember that new shows rule at the Globes- the Hollywood Foreign Press always, always goes for the new show, no matter how under the radar it might be. Still, I couldn't be happier that the Globes finally recognized Breaking Bad, Amy Poehler and Elisabeth Moss. Weirdest moment of the night was Jacqueline Bisset's horribly awkward and embarrassing speech at the beginning while Tina and Amy did a great job hosting the show for the second year in a row. But they've really, really got to figure out a way to not have the TV people be seated in Siberia, so that it takes them years to get up to the stage. I swear, 10% of the broadcast was people hiking to the stage. Other than that, the show itself was fairly uneventful this year- no crazy drunken antics, unless you count Emma Thompson's shoe toss, but that was pretty clearly planned, no nutty acceptance speeches. Everything went off pretty smoothly.

r-3.jpeg

Golden Globe TV Predictions

On the TV side, the Globes can be kinda wacky and weird- the only pattern they ever follow is that they love brand new, first year shows most of the time. Here are my best guesses as to what they'll honor for television:

Best Drama TV Series

house-of-cards1.jpg
  • Breaking Bad
  • Downton Abbey
  • The Good Wife
  • House of Cards
  • Masters of Sex

I originally though Breaking Bad, but I forgot that the Hollywood Foreign Press was the last organization to even acknowledge the show in nominations, let alone wins. They just don't like it, they never have. I'm not sure the final season, as great as it was, is enough for a group that has never warmed to this show to pick it simply because of the hype. So my prediction is House of Cards, which is way more their kind of thing- classy production, movie stars on TV, politics, etc. They'll be the first to honor Netflix with a major television award.

Best Actress- Drama

picture-of-tatiana-maslany-in-orphan-black-large-picture.jpg
  • Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
  • Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
  • Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black
  • Kerry Washington, Scandal
  • Robin Wright, House of Cards

I'm saying Tatiana Maslany. If they saw even a single episode of Orphan Black they'll pick her. Plus she's new, young and in a brand new show, which fits their typical winner in this category. Spoiler would be Kerry Washington, whose profile has been raised considerably in the last year.

Best Actor- Drama

20130130__20130201_C5_AE01TVOSTROW~p1.jpg
  • Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
  • Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
  • Michael Sheen, Masters of Sex
  • Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
  • James Spader, The Blacklist

The movie star for the win. Amazingly, Kevin Spacey has never won a single Globe despite 7 nominations. This will be his first, unless they somehow fall for Michael Sheen in Masters of Sex.

Best Comedy TV Series

o-BIG-BANG-THEORY-facebook.jpg
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Brooklyn Nine-Nine
  • Girls
  • Modern Family
  • Parks and Recreation

This is actually really tough. The new show is Brooklyn Nine-Nine, which is well-reviewed but really under the radar as hardly anyone watches it. They already gave it to Girls last year, Modern Family's old news...could it somehow be Parks and Rec? Incredibly, this is its first nomination after all these years, but I have to go with The Big Bang Theory based on popularity alone.

Best Actress- Comedy

tumblr_mn6pxpX7xG1rzs9yeo1_1280.png
  • Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
  • Lena Dunham, Girls
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
  • Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Julia Louis-Dreyfus will take this lying down. She lost last year to Lena Dunham, but that grave mistake won't be repeated this time. It's hers.

Best Actor- Comedy

bateman1-blog480.jpg
  • Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
  • Don Cheadle, House of Lies
  • Michael J. Fox, The Michael J. Fox Show
  • Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
  • Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

A total wild card, as frankly none of these nominees are hyped in any way this year. Could be Jim Parsons, could be Michael J. Fox even though his show has been badly received. I'm gonna have to go out on a limb and say Jason Bateman wlll be the shock winner here as a welcome back for Arrested Development. He won this years ago during the original run.

Best TV Movie/Miniseries

behind-the-candelabra.jpg
  • American Horror Story: Coven
  • Behind the Candelabra
  • Dancing on the Edge
  • Top of the Lake
  • White Queen

Behind the Candelabra. Done Deal.

Best Actress Movie/Mini

jessica-lange-american-horror-story-coven-premiere.jpg
  • Helena Bonham-Carter, Burton and Taylor
  • Rebecca Ferguson, The White Queen
  • Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
  • Helen Mirren, Phil Spector
  • Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

I have absolutely no idea here. They may choose Helena Bonham Carter on name recognition, or it could be Lange or Mirren due to respect. Jessica Lange is my pick.

Best Actor Movie/Mini

liberace.jpg
  • Matt Damon, Behind the Candelabra
  • Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dancing on the Edge
  • Idris Elba, Luther
  • Al Pacino, Phil Spector

Michael Douglas hands down. Easy one.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series/Movie/Mini

Monica-Potter-Parenthood.jpg
  • Jacqueline Bissett, Dancing on the Edge
  • Janet McTeer, The White Queen
  • Hayden Panattiere, Nashville
  • Monica Potter, Parenthood
  • Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

It's ridiculous that they lump supporting acting for everything on TV into one category, but since that will never change, this is another total shot in the dark- I'm saying it'll be Monica Potter, who had the most critical acclaim for her role on Parenthood last season.

Best Supporting Actor in a Series/Movie/Mini

raydonovan_101_1550.R-001.r.jpg
  • Josh Charles, The Good Wife
  • Rob Lowe, Behind the Candelabra
  • Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
  • Corey Stoll, House of Cards
  • Jon Voight, Ray Donovan

Probably Jon Voight. The biggest name, the flashiest role. I'd be surprised if he lost.

That's it everybody! Tune in to the Globes on Sunday to see how badly I do here (hopefully I'll do better on the movie side). I'll post the full winners list Sunday night.

People's Choice Awards- TV Winners

Nothing completely swept tonight, but here were the big winners:

Ellen+DeGeneres+39th+Annual+People+Choice+zadezfNpF09l.jpg
  • Network TV Drama: The Good Wife
  • Network TV Comedy: The Big Bang Theory
  • On-screen Chemistry: Ian Somerhalder and Nina Dobrev, The Vampire Diaries
  • Comedy TV Actress: Kaley Cuoco, The Big Bang Theory
  • Comedy TV Actor: Chris Colfer, Glee
  • Drama TV Actor: Josh Charles, The Good Wife
  • Drama TV Actress: Stana Katic, Castle
  • Cable TV Drama: The Walking Dead
  • Cable TV Comedy: Psych
  • Actor in a New TV Series: Joseph Morgan, The Originals
  • Actress in a New TV Series: Sarah Michelle Gellar, The Crazy Ones
  • Late Night Talk Show Host: Stephen Colbert
  • Sci-fi/Fantasy Series: Beauty and the Beast
  • Sci-fi/Fantasy TV Actor: Ian Somerhalder, The Vampire Diaries
  • Sci-fi/Fantasy TV Actress: Kristin Kreuk, Beauty and the Beast
  • Cable TV Actress: Lucy Hale, Arrested Development
  • Streaming Series: Orange is the New Black
  • TV Crime Drama: Castle
  • TV Movie/Miniseries: American Horror Story: Coven
  • New TV Comedy: Super Fun Night
  • New TV Drama: Reign
  • Anti-Hero: Rick Grimes, The Walking Dead
  • TV Bromance: Sam, Dean & Castiel, Supernatural
  • TV Gal Pals: Rachel & Santana, Glee
  • Competition TV Show: The Voice
  • Premium Cable TV Show: Homeland
  • Daytime TV Host: Ellen Degeneres
  • New Talk Show Host: Queen Latifah
  • Series We Miss Most: Breaking Bad