The American Film Institute’s list came out today and the majority of the contenders here usually show up on the Oscar Best Picture list. It usually misses by 1 or 2, with a couple more being left off due to less nominees at the Oscars. I have to admit, I’m stunned to see Eighth Grade showing up at all these precursor awards. I liked the movie, but honestly, was it that good? Of these, the ones I think are shaky for the Oscars are A Quiet Place, Eighth Grade, Mary Poppins and maybe BlacKkKlansman, which hasn’t been getting as much critics love as I thought it would. I do think Black Panther will happen, despite the Academy’s resistance to superhero movies in the past. The cultural phenomenon factor is too much for them to ignore this year. The rest of them, including Roma, which wasn’t eligible but they made sure to give a special award, are probably locked by now. That leaves just one, maybe two slots for something else to show up, and honestly, I’m drawing a blank on what that could be this year. Maybe First Man.
BLACKKKLANSMAN
BLACK PANTHER
EIGHTH GRADE
IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
THE FAVOURITE
FIRST REFORMED
GREEN BOOK
MARY POPPINS RETURNS
A QUIET PLACE
A STAR IS BORN
AFI SPECIAL AWARD: ROMA