Yay, Spike Lee! Gets his first ever DGA nomination and headed towards his first ever Oscar nomination, if you can believe it. The Directors Guild is the most important guild for Best Picture, because this tells us what five movies can actually win the top Oscar. Even if all five directors don’t get nominated (they might, but the directors branch is quirky and might replace McKay with someone else), these are the movies that are the top five overall. The only surprise here is probably Adam McKay, which tells us Vice is much stronger than we might have thought (I thought that was on the edge of a BP nomination- now it’d be a surprise if it doesn’t get in). And the snub of Ryan Coogler tells us Black Panther is not a top five pick after all, which makes it unlikely that it could win Best Picture now. With that, Roma, A Star is Born and BlacKkKlansman are the only movies to hit all the major guilds. I think Best Picture will be one of those.
2018 DGA NOMINEES
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
FIRST-TIME DIRECTOR NOMINEES
Bo Burnham, Eighth Grade
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Carlos Lopez Estrada, Blindspotting
Matthew Heineman, A Private War
Boots Riley, Sorry to Bother You