12 Years a Slave, American Hustle Win Top Golden Globes

American Hustle wins Best Picture Comedy/Musical and 12 Years a Slave wins for Drama, in a surprise pick because the latter film won just Picture and nothing else. Here are the winners:

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  • BEST PICTURE DRAMA: 12 Years a Slave
  • BEST DRAMA ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • BEST DRAMA ACTOR: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
  • BEST PICTURE COMEDY/MUSICAL: American Hustle
  • BEST COMEDY ACTRESS: Amy Adams, American Hustle
  • BEST COMEDY ACTOR: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
  • BEST SCREENPLAY: Her
  • BEST DIRECTOR: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
  • BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Frozen
  • BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: The Great Beauty
  • BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "Ordinary Love," Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
  • BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: All is Lost

Looks like the Oscar race is firmly between American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave now, but we'll have to see what happens when the Oscar nominations come in on Thursday. The guilds, which always tell the real story, will weigh in in soon when SAG and PGA vote next weekend. The Hollywood Foreign Press are not the industry voters, so if there's a difference in taste we'll see it soon. As for the acting wins, Cate Blanchett and Jared Leto kick off what's soon to be a steamroller awards season for both of them, while there's a tough race for Best Actor, depending on who gets nominated Thursday. Jennifer Lawrence wins two years in a row, but it's still hard to imagine her doing the same thing at the Oscars, while Amy Adams is, like Leo, in a race to simply be nominated. As for my own predictions, I got all the acting winners right, but bombed out on Song, Score, Screenplay and Drama Picture, which I thought for sure would be Gravity. Still, for my first time predicting the Globes, 10/14 isn't too bad.

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'12 Years' Sweeps Iowa Film Critics; Georgia Goes for 'Her'

The Iowa Film Critics bestowed nearly everything on 12 Years a Slave today:

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  • Picture: 12 Years a Slave
  • Director: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
  • Actor: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
  • Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
  • Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
  • Animated Film: Frozen
  • Documentary: 20 Feet From Stardom

Meanwhile the Georgia Film Critics chose Her for Best Picture, but also showed a lot of love for 12 Years in the acting categories:

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  • Picture: Her
  • Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
  • Actor: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
  • Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
  • Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
  • Original Screenplay: Her
  • Adapted Screenplay: Short Term 12
  • Cinematography: Gravity
  • Production Design: Gravity
  • Song: "Please, Mr. Kennedy," Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Score: Her
  • Ensemble: American Hustle
  • Foreign Film: No
  • Breakthrough: Brie Larsen, Short Term 12
  • Animated Film: Frozen
  • Documentary: Stories We Tell

ACE Eddie Nominations

The Editor's Guild announced today, which is actually a very important one, because failing to score an Eddie nomination means it's practically impossible to win Best Picture. Editing is one of the most important technical categories next to directing:

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Best Edited Feature Film (Dramatic)

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Captain Phillips
  • Gravity
  • Her
  • Saving Mr. Banks

Best Edited Feature Film (Comedy/Musical)

  • American Hustle
  • August: Osage County
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Edited Documentary

  • 20 Feet From Stardom
  • Blackfish
  • Tim's Vermeer

Based on these nominations I'd say the following movies are safe for a Best Picture nomination: 12 Years, Captain Phillips, Gravity, American Hustle, Nebraska and The Wolf of Wall Street. They've managed to hit just about every guild. I'm sort of stunned by the inclusion of Saving Mr. Banks here, because if there's one thing that movie was it was poorly edited. My guess for the five editing noms at the Oscars are Gravity, Captain Phillips, 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle and Nebraska, essentially the Best Picture heavyweights. Although odd ducks can occasionally get in- I wouldn't be surprised to see Rush score an editing nod, even though it was snubbed by the guild.

Golden Globe Predictions

Ok, so with the Golden Globes set to kick off awards season for real this Sunday, it's time to make some predictions about where the Hollywood Foreign Press is likely to go this year. As for what you need to know about the HFPA, this is a group of about 90 old people who are foreign journalists working in the U.S., they love big Hollywood stars but occasionally their European sensibilities show in the kinds of choices they make (this year they loved Rush and Philomena and completely rejected The Butler). I'm actually better at predicting the Oscars, but here I'm going to give it my best shot for the Globes. 

Best Picture- Drama

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  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Captain Phillips
  • Gravity
  • Philomena
  • Rush

My guess here is Gravity. This is the only group that picked Avatar over The Hurt Locker, they love the big extravagant special effects productions, and I think the violence and American history angle of 12 Years a Slave won't connect with these voters. Captain Phillips would probably be in third place.

Best Picture- Comedy/Musical

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  • American Hustle
  • Her
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

American Hustle for the win. I don't think it's much of a contest, they loved Silver Linings Playbook as well, and this is the one with the most heat and buzz in recent weeks. There's an outside shot for Nebraska, but I think Hustle is the winner.

Best Actor- Drama

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  • Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
  • Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
  • Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
  • Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
  • Robert Redford, All is Lost

This is a really, really tough one. Robert Redford is Hollywood royalty, but no one seems to like or have seen All is Lost. Tom Hanks is a big star as well and they loved the movie, so he stands a good chance. Matthew McConaughey is another big star, has never won a Globe and this was one of the best performances of his career, so I'm gonna say he takes it. But I'm very iffy on this one.

Best Actress- Drama

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  • Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Sandra Bullock, Gravity
  • Judi Dench, Philomena
  • Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
  • Kate Winslet, Labor Day

Boy, another tough pick. Probably Cate Blanchett, who's won nearly all the critics awards and is loved by the Globes over the years, but Judi Dench could be the one place to award Philomena, and Sandra Bullock stands a good shot as well if they really loved Gravity. But Blanchett is the safe choice here, so I'd say stick with her.

Best Actor- Comedy/Musical

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  • Christian Bale, American Hustle
  • Bruce Dern, Nebraska
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
  • Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Joaquin Phoenix, Her

I think this is between Leo DiCaprio and Bruce Dern. Leo's the big star and his buzz has been increasing lately, and he's won before at the Globes so they do like him. On the other hand, the HFPA did not love Wolf of Wall Street (no nomination for Best Director and there were rumors that members found it vulgar and offensive) but did like Nebraska a lot, so...it's 50/50 but I'm gonna say Leo wins because they want to see him on stage. I know that's lame but sometimes that's how the HFPA votes.

Best Actress- Comedy/Musical

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  • Amy Adams, American Hustle
  • Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
  • Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
  • Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Another two way race between Amy Adams and Meryl Streep. I have a feeling it's Amy Adams' turn this year, and the love for American Hustle is strong, so I'm choosing her.

Best Supporting Actor

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  • Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
  • Daniel Bruhl, Rush
  • Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
  • Michael Fassender, 12 Years a Slave
  • Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Yikes, this is another crapshoot. I honestly am not sure who they'd prefer out of these guys, so the safe choice is probably the critics pick, Jared Leto. But I'm thinking Daniel Bruhl has an outside shot for Rush. Still, i'll stay with Leto.

Best Supporting Actress

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  • Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
  • Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
  • Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
  • Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
  • June Squibb, Nebraska

If Jennifer Lawrence hadn't won last year she'd take this category in a walk. She might still do it, as I don't think the Globes will have as much resistance as the Oscars will to awarding someone so young back-to-back trophies. But Lupita Nyong'o would probably be the alternate choice. It also may not be wise to say 12 Years won't win anything, even though I don't think Globes voters think that way. Still, my instinct says Lawrence here, so I think I'll go ahead and stick with her.

Best Director

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  • Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
  • Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
  • Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
  • Alexander Payne, Nebraska
  • David O. Russell, American Hustle

Alfonso Cuaron. Gravity was a huge directorial achievement they'll want to acknowledge.

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Blue is the Warmest Color
  • The Great Beauty
  • The Hunt
  • The Past
  • The Wind Rises

The Great Beauty. Globes voters often don't go with the most acclaimed or Oscar frontrunner here, and this movie about Italy may appeal to them.

Best Animated Feature

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  • The Croods
  • Despicable Me 2
  • Frozen

Frozen. Easiest win of the night.

Best Original Song

  • "Atlas" (The Hunger Games: Catching Fire)
  • "Let it Go" (Frozen)
  • "Ordinary Love" (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)
  • "Please Mr. Kennedy" (Inside Llewyn Davis)
  • "Sweeter Than Fiction" (One Chance)

"Let it Go" from Frozen. The most memorable tune of the bunch.

Best Screenplay

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  • Her
  • Nebraska
  • Philomena
  • 12 Years a Slave
  • American Hustle

Tough, but I'm gonna say Philomena. They'll want to probably give it an award somewhere and this is it.

Best Original Score

  • All is Lost
  • Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
  • Gravity
  • The Book Thief
  • 12 Years a Slave

Steven Price for Gravity. I think the HFPA will be big Gravity supporters this weekend.

So there you go. I don't know how well I'll do, but I do think they'll love Gravity and American Hustle. We'll see what happens on Sunday though. Tune back in for the full winners list and my recap of the show, again hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler. Until then!

Art Directors Guild and Scripter Awards

The prestigious USC Scripter award for screenwriting announced their nominees today:

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  • Captain Phillips
  • Philomena
  • The Spectacular Now
  • 12 Years a Slave
  • What Maisie Knew

A couple of surprising choices there, with Spectacular Now and What Maisie Knew, and Captain Phillips has shown real strength in every single preliminary award this season. But I have to assume 12 Years a Slave is the winner here.

And the ADG chimes in with the nods for Production Design in several categories:

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PERIOD FILM

  • American Hustle
  • The Great Gatsby
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Saving Mr. Banks
  • 12 Years a Slave

FANTASY FILM

  • Elysium
  • Gravity
  • The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
  • Oblivion
  • Star Trek Into Darkness

CONTEMPORARY FILM

  • August: Osage County
  • Blue Jasmine
  • Captain Phillips
  • Her
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

Nice to see Llewyn Davis finally be acknowledged for something in a guild, at least for its 60's set design. My guess for the Oscar nods are 12 Years, Great Gatsby, Llewyn Davis, Her and The Hobbit.

Sandra Bullock, Iron Man Dominate the People's Choice Awards

Sandra Bullock once again sweeps the People's Choice Awards, winning every category she was nominated in. Action movies and comedies carry the day elsewhere:

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  • Favorite Movie: Iron Man 3
  • Favorite Movie Actress: Sandra Bullock, Gravity
  • Favorite Movie Actor: Johnny Depp, The Lone Ranger
  • Favorite Comedy Movie: The Heat
  • Favorite Comedy Movie Actor: Adam Sandler, Grown-Ups 2
  • Favorite Comedy Movie Actress: Sandra Bullock, The Heat
  • Favorite Drama Movie: Gravity
  • Favorite Drama Movie Actor: Leonardo Dicaprio, The Great Gatsby/The Wolf of Wall Street
  • Favorite Drama Movie Actress: Sandra Bullock, Gravity
  • Favorite Action Movie: Iron Man 3
  • Favorite Action Movie Star: Robert Downey, Jr., Iron Man 3
  • Favorite Movie Duo: Sandra Bullock and George Clooney, Gravity
  • Favorite Family Movie: Despicable Me 2
  • Favorite Horror Movie: Carrie
  • Favorite Thriller Movie: Now You See Me

Cinematography and Costume Guild Nominees

The technical guilds usually always include the eventual Oscar nominees, so here are a couple that came in today.

AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS (ASC)

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  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Captain Phillips
  • The Grandmaster
  • Gravity
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • Prisoners

Apparently there was so much great cinematography this year there had to be 7 nominees. 5 out of those 7 will likely make the Oscar cut. Offhand, my guess would be 12 Years, Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Captain Phillips and Nebraska. But The Grandmaster is certainly a possibility (it'd replace Phillips if anything). Meanwhile, the costume designers also spoke up.

COSTUME DESIGNERS GUILD (CDG)

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Period Film:

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • American Hustle
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • The Great Gatsby
  • Saving Mr. Banks

Fantasy Film:

  • The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
  • The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
  • Oz: The Great and Powerful

Contemporary Film:

  • Blue Jasmine
  • Her
  • Nebraska
  • Philomena
  • The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

This category always favors period and fantasy films, the more elaborate the better, so my guess on the final five would be 12 Years, American Hustle, Great Gatsby, Oz, and Catching Fire.

Vancouver Critics Go for "12 Years"

Another regional group weighs in for 12 Years a Slave, and Jennifer Lawrence is starting to catch up to Lupita Nyong'o in the number of critics wins for supporting actress:

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  • Picture: 12 Years a Slave
  • Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
  • Actor: Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Supporting Actor: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
  • Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
  • Screenplay: Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Documentary: The Act of Killing
  • Foreign Language Film: The Hunt