Lightning Round Reviews, Part 4: Yet Still More of 2017

That's right, I'm still not quite finished with last year, but I promise that Part 5 is definitely going to be the final wrap-up. This happens when many of the films you want to see don't become available until the first few months of the following year. For now, here's the next batch of what I've finally caught up with:

DAWSON CITY: FROZEN TIME * * *

The past brought back to life

The past brought back to life

A fascinating film that tracks the history of a place called Dawson City, where a treasure trove of silent film reels were discovered underground in the late 1970’s, to be restored and preserved for the collection of long lost films. Filmmaker Bill Morrison traces the history of the tiny Canadian city located in the Yukon, which has seen the ups and downs of its construction and reconstruction ever since hordes of prospectors filed in in the early days of the Klondike gold rush, and he documents that history through photographs, newspaper articles and film reels, many from the discovered collection. The movie is a near silent film itself, with a haunting score that accompanies the history lesson playing out over the images through onscreen text. It’s a parallel history of not just the city, but of film and America itself, and a must watch for movie lovers in particular.

 

IT * * 1/2

Pennywise the dancing clown is back

Pennywise the dancing clown is back

A new version of It tackles the Stephen King novel while moving the period setting from the 1950’s to the 1980’s in order to cash in on the Stranger Things-inspired nostalgia fest (one of the kids, Finn Wolfhard, actually is from Stranger Things). The result is only okay. Director Andy Muschietti helms his second feature (his first, Mama, was superior) and does manage to create some decent suspense in fits and starts. I also imagine this Pennywise, played by Bill Skarsgard, is a far more terrifying entity than Tim Curry’s hilariously over the top version from the 1990 TV miniseries, but the kids are one note stereotypes and the updated time period adds nothing to the story but throwaway references to Michael Jackson’s Pepsi commercial and New Kids on the Block. Actually it probably would have benefited from remaining in the 50’s, upping the creepy, old-fashioned horror and plausibility of the small town setting. I did like the screen presence of one of the child actors, Sophia Lillis, who happens to be a dead ringer for a young Amy Adams, but the cliches and silliness of the climactic battle with Pennywise wear the movie down.

 

FACES PLACES * * * 1/2

A joyful trip through France and memory

A joyful trip through France and memory

Legendary filmmaker Agnes Varda teams up with French photographer JR for an unconventional documentary that sees them roaming the French countryside, surprising people in villages, farms and factories to persuade them to have their pictures taken and posted as massive prints on the sides of buildings, walls, etc. It’s a sweet, whimsical adventure that shows the still flourishing mind and creativity of the 88-year-old Varda, who remains every bit as interested in the lives of ordinary human beings as she ever was in her long filmmaking career. Most of the film is spontaneous and natural, as she prefers an approach that allows for improvised interaction, but every once in a while you see the emotional heart that makes its way in to create a poignant, cinematic moment. A lovely, soulful cap on a lifetime of imagination.

 

JUSTICE LEAGUE * *

The new Justice League is kind of a bust

The new Justice League is kind of a bust

A silly, simple, brightened up, under two hour entry in the normally depressing DCEU, that’s pretty forgettable yet not as painful as the previous Zack Snyder helmed films in this franchise. That may be because he didn’t quite finish this one, as Joss Whedon was called in to do extensive reshoots and rewrites. The result is a kind of a mess, yet due to the forcibly lightened tone and extremely simple Saturday morning cartoon plot (there’s a villain invading Earth who needs to collect three world destroying boxes, it’s up to the team to stop him), unlike the dreadful Batman v. Superman, it’s not confusing, depressing or slow. Does this make it better? I guess? Certainly more watchable. Batman, Wonder Woman, The Flash, Aquaman and Cyborg team up to bring Superman back to life and stop the bad guy, in that order, and they do. That’s about it. Lots of jokes (something never before seen in these movies), two bad visual effects battles (although not nearly as long or oppressive as anything in Man of Steel, BvS or Suicide Squad, thank goodness), and the odd return of the iconic Danny Elfman Batman score from the Tim Burton movies, and the John Williams Superman theme from the Chris Reeve films. It’s a movie that wants really badly for you to like it, but the most I can say about this one is that I didn’t feel assaulted by it. It’s behind Wonder Woman in terms of quality for the DC movies, but boy is that a low bar. My guess is not high enough for a sequel.

 

DARKEST HOUR * * * 1/2

Gary Oldman's Winston is a force to be reckoned with

Gary Oldman's Winston is a force to be reckoned with

Gary Oldman delivers a towering performance in Joe Wright’s Winston Churchill biopic, which, in an amazing coincidence of timing, happens to end seemingly hours before Dunkirk starts, thus serving as the perfect vehicle for a back to back double feature, if you were so inclined. Wright has directed period dramas before, but this time it's kind of a one man show, depicting Winston Churchill at the moment of his being made prime minister in 1940, when it seemed Europe was falling left and right and it looked ever likelier that Great Britain was to be next. In fact, had it not been for the man in charge, had it been any other man in that position, it may well have done so. Most of Churchill’s cabinet was in favor of capitulating to Hitler to negotiate for peace, while Churchill alternately defied his own party and agonized over how to buy his country time. Wright understands that this film belongs entirely to Oldman, who dominates the screen in a transformative, electric, entirely convincing performance. Oldman has always been capable of subtlety and underplaying when necessary, yet he can also be over the top and grandstanding when he feels like it. His Churchill is an irascible character who frightens or confounds everyone around him, yet is never too big for the film itself, which Wright directs with energy and verve. Taking place in the dark, smoke filled halls of Parliament and underground war room meetings, this is a political drama that unfolds with tension and suspense, thanks to Wright’s focus and snappy pacing, its meticulous crafting, literate script and one unforgettable star turn at its center. It’s a highly entertaining look at a terrifying moment in British (and world) history. 

 

PHANTOM THREAD * * * 1/2

That's one way to tame an insufferable man

That's one way to tame an insufferable man

A delightfully twisted love story that slowly pulls you into its hypnotizing atmosphere before throwing you for a loop at the end and making you second guess everything you saw. Paul Thomas Anderson has created one of his most fully realized films, with every luscious detail of 1950’s fashion designer Reynolds Woodcock’s obsessive and painstaking creative process fleshed out in full, as well as the kinks and desires of his personal life, seen through the eyes of his latest paramour and muse, Alma (played by newcomer Vicki Krieps). Despite a lack of screen presence in Krieps (which is tough when you’re playing against the great Daniel Day-Lewis), the relationship between them develops in idiosyncratic and eventually unexpected ways, ultimately thrilling once you realize what kind of well-suited match this really is. This is a film that invents a universe all its own and casts a spell on its audience. Should you choose to surrender yourself to its particular enchantment, you will be richly rewarded.

2018 Oscar Predictions, Part 5: Best Picture and Best Director

Oh, man. Best Picture and Director. I feel confident about Director, not at ALL in Picture. I’m taking a huge risk on the biggest category this year.

BEST DIRECTOR

Shape-Of-Water-Production-Start-Director-Guillermo-Del.jpg
  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Guillermo del Toro has got this in the bag, after having won at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, DGA and BAFTA. He’s a virtual lock and also very deserving, so it’ll be nice to see him up there for what’s definitely one of his best movies. I’m perfectly happy to see him win this.

Winner: Guillermo del Toro

Alternate: Christopher Nolan (maybe like a 1% chance for an upset)

BEST PICTURE

nbcu-02477-Full-Image_GalleryBackground-en-US-1494632287262._RI_SX940_.jpg
  • Call My By Your Name
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Oh, boy. So, here’s the thing. I’m predicting Get Out to win, but this would be a huge upset. The truth is this category is wide open- I can see a path for any one of at least five movies to win here, so I’ll just lay out the case of each of them:

'Shape of Water' SHOULD be the frontrunner, having the two biggest guild wins, PGA and DGA under its belt...but is it?

'Shape of Water' SHOULD be the frontrunner, having the two biggest guild wins, PGA and DGA under its belt...but is it?

THE SHAPE OF WATER- The movie that should be considered the frontrunner because it won the PGA and the DGA, along with the non-industry Critics Choice award. Normally PGA and DGA adds up to the Oscar….but it didn’t last year with La La Land, remember? So that’s a potential thorn in its side. It lost the Golden Globe and the BAFTA and the SAG award, but won those two critical guild awards.

'Three Billboards' is the actors choice (SAG) and the Brits (swept the BAFTAS)- could it overtake the others, or is it still too divisive?

'Three Billboards' is the actors choice (SAG) and the Brits (swept the BAFTAS)- could it overtake the others, or is it still too divisive?

THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI- I was thrilled when this movie didn’t get a Best Director nomination, since I thought that considerably lessened its chances, but I have to face facts. The movie seems to be beloved by non-American voters, who gave it the Golden Globe, but more importantly the BAFTA. And they didn’t just give it Best Film at the BAFTAS, they gave it Best Film AND Best British Film, along with the acting winners AND the screenplay. The Brits LOVE this movie. And they are a significant part of the Academy, so it’s possible that even voters whose first choice might be other British films like Darkest Hour or Dunkirk, will rank this one behind those, which could help it on the weird, preferential ballot that decides Best Picture. The other thing in its favor are the SAG wins. It won three SAG awards- ensemble plus the two actors, which shows us that the actors are behind it. That is something La La Land did not have last year, because that movie wasn’t even nominated for the SAG ensemble. Sometimes in split picture/director years, the SAG winner is the one that takes it, because the actors branch is the biggest one in the Academy. It could be that missing the directing nomination was a fluke and the movie is strong enough to win without it. Gulp.

'Get Out' may be the most broadly liked, consensus choice- but with only 4 nominations, it's a real wild card winner

'Get Out' may be the most broadly liked, consensus choice- but with only 4 nominations, it's a real wild card winner

GET OUT- This is my choice, and basically I’m flying blind aside from its one guild win, at the WGA. That would follow the Moonlight precedent from last year, but the truth is I’m making a lot of assumptions in choosing this to win, because what I’m assuming is that it’s a consensus choice that will do well on the preferential ballot, that American voters like it a LOT more than overseas ones, and they will rank it higher in their choices for Best Picture. It’s not favored to win any other Oscars except possibly Screenplay, which would put in the rare position of only winning two, which Spotlight did a couple years ago. And then there’s the fact that it only has four nominations overall. Moonlight had seven, indicating support all the way down the branches- it’s very rare to win without some craft support. The last one that did this was 1980’s Ordinary People (and even that had six nominations because it had two more acting ones). But it’s my favorite of the nominees, it's arguably THE movie of 2017 in terms of relevance and I believe it deserves to win, so I’m taking a massive risk here and going for it.

LADY BIRD- This is still theoretically possible, but unlikely, since it has no guild wins at all in its favor, just some scattered critics wins. Again, it’s kind of the same rationale as Get Out, the idea that this movie will do well on the ballot because it’s broadly liked.

'Lady Bird' was loved by a lot of people, but can it win the big prize and nothing else?

'Lady Bird' was loved by a lot of people, but can it win the big prize and nothing else?

DUNKIRK- This might seem like a choice that came of nowhere, since it hasn’t won anything except some tech awards, like editing and sound, but it may also be a non-divisive film that could rise to the top of the ballots in a close race with other competitors.

So there you go. As I wrote this, I realized that I almost talked myself into picking Three Billboards, but I just can’t bring myself to do it. I’m sticking with Get Out. I’m going all in on what’s essentially a dark horse choice, so I’m going to give you some percentage odds.

Winner: Get Out (I’m giving it a 26% chance to win)

Alternate: The Shape of Water (maybe 35%) or Three Billboards (33%)

Dark Horse: Lady Bird (5%), then Dunkirk (1%)

2018 Oscar Predictions, Part 4: Acting

Oy. We’re at the actors now, which is my most hated category this year. Why? Because I disagree with the seemingly locked frontrunners in almost all of these categories. Ugh. Wake me when it’s over.

BEST ACTOR

5a54bb10377a6-900x540.jpg
  • Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  • Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Gary Oldman is going to win, and this is the one I’m most okay with, because I did think he was amazing in Darkest Hour. I don’t even know what else to say about it though, because he’s won all four major precursors- Golden Globe, Critics Choice, SAG and BAFTA. It’s a done deal for the veteran character actor.

Winner: Gary Oldman

BEST ACTRESS

three-billboards-outside-ebbing-missouri-2017-003-frances-mcdormand-store.jpg
  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post

I can’t predict anyone other than McDormand. I HATED that movie so much and I can’t tell you how how much it bothers me that it’s going to win all these awards on Oscar night, but like Oldman and the two other frontrunners, she won every single precursor award, so there’s no justification for choosing anyone else. By the way, people don’t lose the Oscar if they win all four of those awards- it’s never happened. I suppose there’s a first time for everything and maybe Saoirse Ronan can take it if they want to give Lady Bird something, but I don’t see it happening. 

Winner: Frances McDormand

Alternate: Saoirse Ronan

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

rockwell.jpg
  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

My mood darkens more and more as I go down this list. Two nominations here for Billboards is more of an indication how much the actors loved that awful movie and I can’t explain it. Rockwell didn’t lose a single precursor, so I guess he’s got it (it should belong to Willem Dafoe).

Winner: Sam Rockwell

Alternate: Willem Dafoe

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

allison-janney-i-tonya.jpg
  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Now this one gives me a little bit of a pause, but not a whole lot, since again, Janney won every single precursor (this is the first time that’s ever happened with the same four actors, oddly enough). But….I, Tonya wasn’t that loved by the Academy so there’s a slim chance they could give it to someone who was in a Best Picture nominee, like Laurie Metcalf or even Lesley Manville. Do they want to give Lady Bird any awards at all? This could be the place to go to honor it. I actually did like Allison Janney in I, Tonya (although her part was so much smaller and more one note than Metcalf’s), so I’m slightly less irked about this particular win.

Winner: Allison Janney

Alternate: Laurie Metcalf

Dark Horse: Lesley Manville

2018 Oscar Predictions, Part 3: Writing, Editing, & Other Feature Films

Okay, onto the screenplays and the separate feature film categories. Feeling relatively good about my picks here, since there seem to be clear frontrunners in most of them.

BEST FILM EDITING

dunkirk-2017-1200-1200-675-675-crop-000000.jpg
  • Baby Driver
  • Dunkirk
  • I, Tonya
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Feeling good about picking Dunkirk for this, since it won the ACE Eddie Award, which is the most predictive guild. Baby Driver actually won the BAFTA though, so that could be a spoiler, but non-Best Picture nominees don’t usually win this category, so it would be a risk to choose that.

Winner: Dunkirk

Alternate: Baby Driver

BEST DOCUMENTARY

alep2_0.jpg
  • Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
  • Faces Places
  • Icarus
  • Last Men in Aleppo
  • Strong Island

After the presumed frontrunner Jane was snubbed for even a nomination, most people thought that honorary winner Agnes Varda would win this for Faces Places, but I think it’s going to go to Last Men in Aleppo. The Syrian documentary is similar to last year’s doc short winner The White Helmets, and the Syrians who made the film have been banned from coming to the ceremony thanks to our shitheel in chief’s bullshit muslim ban. The Syrian government refuses to expedite their VISA process to let them come and the Academy put out a statement in solidarity with the filmmakers, so I have to believe their movie is winning this now.

Winner: Last Men in Aleppo

Alternate: Faces Places

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

image.jpg
  • A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
  • The Insult (Lebanon)
  • Loveless (Russia)
  • On Body and Soul (Hungary)
  • The Square (Sweden)

The big frontrunner here seems to be A Fantastic Woman, which stars transgender actress Daniela Vega, who’s gotten a lot of acclaim for the film. Second place would likely be Sweden’s The Square, but I think A Fantastic Woman has it.

Winner: A Fantastic Woman

Alternate: The Square

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

https---blogs-images.forbes.com-danidiplacido-files-2017-11-disney-pixars-coco-ht-mem-171117_4x3_992.jpg
  • The Boss Baby
  • The Breadwinner
  • Coco
  • Ferdinand
  • Loving Vincent

This one’s Coco, no alternate needed. Eventually the Pixar or Disney hit of the year will lose this award to something (anything) else, but I can’t complain about it since Coco’s a good movie.

Winner: Coco

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

9987460_web1_call-me-by-your-name.jpg
  • Call Me By Your Name
  • The Disaster Artist
  • Logan
  • Molly’s Game
  • Mudbound

There’s really no need for an alternate in this category either, since Call My By Your Name won the WGA, Scripter and BAFTA precursors for this award. 

Winner: Call Me By Your Name

Alternate: Mudbound (if it’s anything else, but it won’t be)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

get-ou.jpg
  • The Big Sick
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Now this is one of the most interesting categories of the night. I’m going with Get Out, which won the WGA and Critics Choice, but that’s because I’m predicting the movie to win both this and Picture. It could very well go home empty-handed. Three Billboards is pretty beloved and won the Golden Globe, BAFTA and was ineligible for the WGA, so the truth is we don’t know if it would have beaten Get Out there. This is a 50/50 call. And if Billboards were to win this, that signals a lot more love for it than I’m betting on, which means it’s still a real threat for Best Picture.

Winner: Get Out

Alternate: Three Billboards

Dark Horse: Lady Bird (still wondering if this movie will go home empty-handed too)

Ralph and Vanellope Discover the Internet in 'Wreck-it Ralph 2' Teaser

So, both the Pixar and Disney films of 2018 are going to be sequels to past hits, and oddly enough, I'm looking forward to each of them. The Incredibles more so, but I did enjoy Wreck-it Ralph (I will never get over it losing the Oscar to Brave, which was not a good movie), and at the time I thought it was the kind of thing that lended itself well to a sequel. I became less interested in seeing one after Zootopia came out, which is from the same team, and lends itself to sequels even more and with far more interesting potential, but I guess this one was already in the works. I love the idea of them going into the internet though. I'm in.

2018 Oscar Predictions, Part 2: Music, Makeup, Costumes, Sets

Now we’re on to the production design, makeup, costumes, etc. These are always fun, but mostly because they fool me into thinking I’m an expert in each category, when that’s probably not how the Academy even votes for them. I don’t think they critique things the way I would if I were an actual voter.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

cinema2feb.jpg
  • Beauty and the Beast
  • Darkest Hour
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Shape of Water
  • Victoria & Abdul

Okay, so I think this is Phantom Thread, which is about fashion design, so how could it lose, right? Plus it was nominated for Best Picture and it’s the only category where it could really win, so I would think they’d want to give it something. It also won the BAFTA. On the other hand, there was an upset at the Costume Designers Guild last week, where it lost to The Shape of Water. Hmm. I’ll stick with it anyway.

Winner: Phantom Thread

Alternate: The Shape of Water

Dark Horse: Beauty and the Beast (I thought these costumes were garish but sometimes movies win this category for exactly that reason- see Alice in Wonderland).

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

t-Shape-of-Water-Set-Design.jpg
  • Beauty and the Beast
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water

I think that Blade Runner is the one that deserves to win this, but The Shape of Water won the guild award for it, and also the BAFTA, so it looks like it has it in the bag.

Winner: The Shape of Water

Alternate: Blade Runner 2049

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

the-darkest-hour-gary-oldman.jpg
  • Darkest Hour
  • Victoria & Abdul
  • Wonder

This very likely goes to the BAFTA and guild winner Darkest Hour, although I wouldn’t necessarily rule out Wonder. Still, best to stick with the BP nominee here.

Winner: Darkest Hour

Alternate: Wonder

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Bladerunner_Featured-1000x576.jpg
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Mudbound
  • The Shape of Water

This is a closer race I think, even though it shouldn’t be and legendary cinematographer Roger Deakins ought to finally win his Oscar for Blade Runner after a long, stellar career of incredible work (of which this is probably his finest). He also won the ASC (the guild) and the BAFTA, so it’s looking good for him. But there’s a chance for The Shape of Water and also Mudbound, which made history in having Rachel Morrison as the first woman ever nominated for cinematography.

Winner: Blade Runner 2049

Alternate: The Shape of Water

Dark Horse: Mudbound

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

08bagger-shapeofwater-master768.jpg
  • Dunkirk
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Shape of Water seems to be the consensus favorite here, after winning the BAFTA and Critics Choice awards. I don’t think it’s a particularly close race for this one.

Winner: The Shape of Water

Alternate: Phantom Thread

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

coco.jpg
  • “Mighty River,” Mudbound
  • “Mystery of Love,” Call Me By Your Name
  • “Remember Me,” Coco 
  • “Stand Up for Something,” Marshall
  • “This is Me,” The Greatest Showman

I think this will go to Coco, although I suppose there’s a chance for Mary J. Blige’s song from Mudbound or the song from the sleeper hit The Greatest Showman. But I think Coco is the safest bet. It's the one that made everybody cry, right?

Winner: “Remember Me”

Alternate: “Mighty River”

Dark Horse: “This is Me”

2018 Oscar Predictions, Part 1: Shorts, Effects & Sound

Time for my Oscar predictions! This year is particularly wide open in the big categories, so I’m glad to start with the techs, as usual. I have a feeling I’m not going to do too well this year overall, because I already know I’m going to predict an upset for Best Picture, but maybe I’ll do better in these smaller categories.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

B7SHNNHL5VG27LFQBHXHNUF3UE.jpg
  • Edith + Eddie
  • Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
  • Heroin(e)
  • Knife Skills
  • Traffic Stop

We start with the shorts, and as always, I have no way of seeing these, so I have to go by subject matter and reviews from the few people who have. I know that’s not very reassuring, but from what I’ve read, Heaven is a Traffic Jam seems to be the favorite, although Heroine, which is about opioids, apparently has its fans too.

Winner: Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405

Alternate: Heroin(e)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

dekalb-elementary-f65082.jpg
  • DeKalb Elementary
  • The Eleven O’Clock
  • My Nephew Emmett
  • The Silent Child
  • Watu Wote/All of Us

I think this one will go to Dekalb Elementary, which is about a school shooting. 

Winner: DeKalb Elementary

Alternate: The Eleven O’Clock

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

lou-pixarshort-bully-football.jpg
  • Dear Basketball
  • Garden Party
  • Lou
  • Negative Space
  • Revolting Rhymes

So, Kobe Bryant has a short nominated here, so he’s a possibility, although I hear the film isn’t even very good. And I question whether they’d want to honor him in light of the #MeToo movement. So I’m going with the Pixar mainstay on this one.

Winner: Lou

Alternate: Dear Basketball

BEST SOUND MIXING

21DUNKIRK-facebookJumbo.jpg
  • Baby Driver
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Eh. I think I’m going with Dunkirk for both the sound categories- they usually pick the war movie or the musical for this. That gives Baby Driver an outside shot actually, but I’ll stick with Dunkirk.

Winner: Dunkirk

Alternate: Baby Driver

BEST SOUND EDITING

170717-fallon-styles-dunkirk-tease_ikhauu.jpg
  • Baby Driver
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Dunkirk
  • The Shape of Water
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Again, sticking with Dunkirk, but Baby Driver would not be a crazy prediction.

Winner: Dunkirk

Alternate: Baby Driver

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

14WARPLANET-master768.jpg
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
  • Kong: Skull Island
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • War for the Planet of the Apes

I’m shaky on this one a little bit. In the precursors, Apes won the VFX Guild award, but Blade Runner won the BAFTA. My instinct would say Apes due to the “visual” part of what we’re awarding here, but I do think there’s a chance for Blade Runner

Winner: War for the Planet of the Apes

Alternate: Blade Runner 2049

 

The Parr Family is Back in 'The Incredibles 2'

YES!! Now this is a sequel I'm excited about! 2004's The Incredibles was one of my favorite movies of the decade, and it still holds up insanely well. With writer-director Brad Bird back for this sequel, it looks just as good, even if I'm a little puzzled as to why they seem to be picking up right where they left off. I really thought they'd age the characters if it ever came back for sequels- think about how great it would be to change up the family dynamic and have Violet and Dash as teenagers, with Jack-Jack as the little kid (then the problem of recasting Dash's voice actor wouldn't have happened). But this one looks like it's all about Helen going back to work as Elastigirl, while Bob takes care of the kids, which is a good idea too. Hopefully they can do a time jump if there's a third one.